Results tagged ‘ Ramon Hernandez ’

I am ready for baseball


I have everything set up and I am ready for another great season of Cincinnati Reds Baseball. 2012 was a very busy offseason for the Reds and now it is time to find out if the moves made will produce a championship. Mat Latos, Sean Marshall and Ryan Madson were the three big additions to the team this offseason. While Ramon Hernandez and Francisco Cordero were two big players that left due to free agency.

Carlos Zambrano vs. Cincinnati Reds


There are rumors going around that Chicago Cubs are trading Carlos Zambrano to Miami Marlins. I thought I would add my two cents. I am glad he is leaving the National League Central, this is another move not done by the Reds that really helps the team.

Carlos Zambrano has a 17-11 record and a 3.28 career ERA vs. the Reds and a 9-3, 3.31 ERA at Great American Ball Park.


Carlos Zambrano career vs. Cincinnati Reds

                                                    
                    AB  H SO    BA   OBP   SLG   OPS
Brandon Phillips    47 11 11  .234  .345  .426  .771
Scott Rolen         48  9  8  .188  .235  .396  .631
Edgar Renteria      39 14  9  .359  .468  .436  .904
Joey Votto          26  9  2  .346  .433  .500  .933
Jay Bruce           18  4  2  .222  .364  .389  .753
Ramon Hernandez     15  3  2  .200  .200  .200  .400
Miguel Cairo        12  3  5  .250  .357  .333  .690
Drew Stubbs         11  3  5  .273  .333  .273  .606
Dontrelle Willis     7  1  1  .143  .143  .143  .286
Ryan Hanigan         6  2  1  .333  .333  .500  .833
Johnny Cueto         3  0  1  .000  .000  .000  .000
Yonder Alonso        2  2  0 1.000 1.000 2.500 3.500
Juan Francisco       3  0  3  .000  .000  .000  .000
Bronson Arroyo       2  1  0  .500  .500  .500 1.000
Nick Masset          1  0  1  .000  .000  .000  .000
Homer Bailey         1  1  0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000
Todd Frazier         1  0  0  .000  .000  .000  .000
Total              242 63 51  .260  .344  .401  .745

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 1/4/2012.


2012 Predictions


Steve Engbloom from Blog Red Machine has posted some very interesting posts lately regarding Cincinnati Reds starting pitchers in 2012. So far he has talked about Bronson Arroyo, Mat Latos and Johnny Cueto. If you have time, I highly recommend you read them.

The posts were brought on by predictions made by Bill James on FanGraphs. He predicted how the Reds pitchers will do in 2012. Predictions that are a little scary to look at. I thought I would share them and see what everyone else thought. [Source] More information on Bill James predictions.

Johnny Cueto 11-11
Mat Latos 15-9
Bronson Arroyo 11-12
Homer Bailey 9-10
Mike Leake 9-10
Aroldis Chapman 3-3

Sean Marshall 5-4
Bill Bray 3-2
Nick Masset 3-4
Logan Ondrusek 3-2
Sam LeCure 4-5
Jose Arredondo 4-3
Carlos Fisher N/A
Josh Judy N/A

If these predictions are close that would mean the team would roughly be a .500 ball club in 2012. Of course these predictions were made before Sean Marshall and Mat Latos joined the team but since the Reds have not really touched their position players except losing Ramon Hernandez and Edgar Renteria it makes me wonder if the two new pitchers will make much of a difference. A lot of people think that Mat Latos and Sean Marshall will make a huge difference to the team, while others think the Reds still need a lot more in order to make the playoffs.

Here are my 2012 predictions: (Remember now, I am no Bill James. I am just a crazy fan who loves the Reds!)

Johnny Cueto 12-9
Mat Latos 19-7
Bronson Arroyo 15-10
Homer Bailey 7-9
Mike Leake 11-8
Aroldis Chapman 9-7

Sean Marshall 5-2
Bill Bray 4-2
Nick Masset 3-3
Logan Ondrusek 1-1
Sam LeCure 7-5
Jose Arredondo 4-4
Carlos Fisher 0-1
Josh Judy 1-1

Sean Marshall vs. Cincinnati Reds


Cincinnati Reds fans are still waiting to find out who the minor league players are in the Sean Marshall trade today. While we wait I thought I would look into something I read from a fan’s comments earlier today. The fan said that this trade will help the Reds out more then they think because the Reds players had a very tough time against Sean Marshall when he was playing for Chicago Cubs. After looking at the stats I have to agree. Marshall has been said to be one of the best relief pitchers in Major League Baseball right now. Having a setup man like this on the team will really help out with signing or trading for a new closer.


Sean Marshall vs. Cincinnati Reds

                                                              
                    AB  H HR RBI BB SO    BA   OBP   SLG   OPS
Joey Votto          13  3  1   2  4  4  .231  .412  .538  .950
Edgar Renteria      12  3  0   0  3  4  .250  .400  .250  .650
Brandon Phillips    12  1  1   2  2  2  .083  .214  .333  .548
Jay Bruce           11  2  0   0  1  6  .182  .308  .182  .490
Scott Rolen          8  3  1   2  1  1  .375  .444  .750 1.194
Drew Stubbs          5  0  0   1  1  3  .000  .167  .000  .167
Ramon Hernandez      5  3  0   0  0  1  .600  .600  .600 1.200
Paul Janish          3  1  0   0  0  0  .333  .333  .333  .667
Ryan Hanigan         2  1  0   1  2  0  .500  .750  .500 1.250
Miguel Cairo         2  1  0   1  1  1  .500  .667  .500 1.167
Chris Heisey         2  1  0   0  1  1  .500  .667  .500 1.167
Todd Frazier         2  2  0   1  0  0 1.000 1.000 1.500 2.500
Dontrelle Willis     2  0  0   0  0  1  .000  .000  .000  .000
Yonder Alonso        1  0  0   0  0  0  .000  .000  .000  .000
Juan Francisco       1  0  0   0  0  0  .000  .000  .000  .000
Devin Mesoraco       1  0  0   0  0  1  .000  .000  .000  .000
Edinson Volquez      1  0  0   0  0  1  .000  .000  .000  .000
Dave Sappelt         0  0  0   0  0                          0
Total               83 21  3  10 16 26  .253  .380  .386  .766

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/21/2011.


Sean Marshall career vs. National League Central teams.

                                                                  
                  Split W L  ERA  G   IP  H HR SO  WHIP SO/9 SO/BB
        Cincinnati Reds 1 3 2.61 23 31.0 26  2 30 1.387  8.7  1.76
         Houston Astros 2 5 2.70 27 46.2 44  5 36 1.307  6.9  2.12
      Milwaukee Brewers 2 2 4.13 27 32.2 35  2 29 1.531  8.0  1.93
     Pittsburgh Pirates 5 2 3.27 26 41.1 31  2 33 1.113  7.2  2.20
    St. Louis Cardinals 3 3 2.71 31 63.0 63  7 45 1.302  6.4  2.37

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/21/2011.

Another sad day in baseball


I am not going to write too much about this because to tell you the honest truth I am still shocked and confused. Ryan Braun, the National League MVP tested positive for PEDs and is now trying to fight it. With this news, as a Reds fan it makes me wonder how well they will do in 2012. Now that Prince Fielder will not be on that team and Ryan Braun will be facing a 50 game suspension along with Albert Pujols being traded away from St. Louis Cardinals and Tony LaRussa retiring. Do people actually believe the Breweres and Cardinals will do well without the people who really helped them a lot in 2011? The Reds will not have Francisco Cordero or Ramon Hernandez but even with not making any moves at all this offseason they are still sitting in better shape. I predict the Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates to do well in the Central now.


Ryan Braun

Year          Age   G   AB   R   H  HR RBI SB   BA  OBP  SLG   OPS
2007           23 113  451  91 146  34  97 15 .324 .370 .634 1.004
2008           24 151  611  92 174  37 106 14 .285 .335 .553  .888
2009           25 158  635 113 203  32 114 20 .320 .386 .551  .937
2010           26 157  619 101 188  25 103 14 .304 .365 .501  .866
2011           27 150  563 109 187  33 111 33 .332 .397 .597  .994
5 Seasons         729 2879 506 898 161 531 96 .312 .371 .563  .933
162 Game Avg.     162  640 112 200  36 118 21 .312 .371 .563  .933

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/11/2011.

1975 vs. 2011 (part 1)


I thought it would be fun to talk about something other than the winter meetings right now. I also wanted to do a comparison of one of the Reds best teams with last seasons team. Here is part one of that comparison.

In 1975, Cincinnati Reds won 108 games while losing 54, giving them a .667 W-L%. The best record so far in franchise history. I wanted to look more closely at this team and see what pieces were missing from the 2011 Cincinnati Reds that might help them win 108 or more wins in 2012.

Sparky Anderson was the manager of the 1975 Reds while as we all know Dusty Baker is the manager now. I think this is a good place to start. Comparing the two might help understand what kind of challenges the Reds will have right off the bat. Sparky Anderson managed the Cincinnati Reds for 9 years, 1450 games getting 863 wins and 586 losses. He took the team to 4 Pennants and 2 World Series Titles. Dusty Baker has managed the Reds for 4 years, 648 games getting 322 wins and 326 losses. On paper, many will say there is no comparison between the two but from what I have read and heard lately, Dusty Baker is liked a lot by the players on the Reds right now and if he can keep the youngsters motivated to play well everyday I will throw all the paper away and gladly be a Dusty Baker supporter. Sparky Anderson’s best season with the Reds was of course 1975 where they got 108 wins, he saw 100+ wins with the team 3 times. Dusty Baker’s best season was 2010 where the Reds got 91 wins and 71 losses. But for this comparison we are taking Anderson’s 1975 record of 108 wins and 54 loses against Dusty Baker’s 2011 season with 79 wins and 83 losses. Both managers have won Manager of the Year awards but never with the Reds so we will not count them in this discussion. Dusty Baker won 3 (1993, 1997 and 2000) while Sparky Anderson won 2. (1984 and 1987) I remember Sparky Anderson while he managed on the Detroit Tigers and was alway impressed with that team. I remember Dusty Baker more as a player then a manager and I always thought he did very well on the field. I just wish he got his players to play the same way all the time.

Now we move onto position players and I thought we would start with the catchers and then move our way around the base paths and out to the outfield then take a good look into the pitching staff for both teams.

1975 Reds had Johnny Bench, Bill Plummer and 22-year-old Don Werner. 2011 Reds had Ramon Hernandez, Ryan Hanigan and 23-year-old Devin Mesoraco. Before we even begin comparing the two I know many will say once again there is no comparison between the two but we will look into it more just to be fair. Right now I am not sure if there are many players in Major League Baseball that would match Johnny Bench, or should I say, ones that the Reds could afford. At age 27 Johnny Bench played in 142 games going 150 for 530 at bats giving him a .282 BA. He got 28 HRs, 110 RBIs and 83 runs. Can you imagine what he would have done in Great American Ball Park? Bill Plummer saw 65 games ending the season with a .182 BA with 159 at bats. Don Werner only saw 8 at bats and ended the season with a .125 batting average. Johnny Bench also came in 4th in National League MVP voting.

The 2011 Reds had Hernandez and Hanigan playing equal time and both did well in that situation. Ramon Hernandez played in 91 games going 84 for 298 (.282 BA) and getting 12 HRs, 36 RBIs and 28 runs. While Ryan Hanigan played in 91 games getting 71 hits in 266 at bats. (.267 BA) He got 6 HRs, 31 RBIs and 27 runs getting 35 walks and 32 strike outs. Devin Mesoraco played in 18 games going 9 for 50. (.180 BA)

Johnny Bench allowed 32 stolen bases while getting 27 CS and .989 Fld% with 0 PB and 29 WP. Plummer had 23 SB, 2 CS with a .990 Fld%, 2 PB and 19 WP. Don Werner had 6 SB and 0 CS with 1 PB and 1 WP getting a .984 Fld%. On the 2011 Reds Ramon Hernandez got 39 SB, 23 CS, 3 PB, 26 WP and a .998 Fld%. Ryan Hanigan got 34 SB, 18 CS, 2 PB, 18 WP and a .993 Fld%. Devin Mesoraco got 8 SB, 3 CS, 0 PB, 7 WP and a .973 Fld%. So the 1975 Reds had 61 SB – 29 CS and a 32 CS% while the 2011 Reds had 81 SB – 44 CS and a 35 CS%.

When it came to batting, 1975 Reds catchers had a .253 BA, .337 OBP, .439 SLG and a .776 OPS. The 2011 Reds catchers got a .266 BA, .338 OBP, .395 SLG and a .733 OPS. So that just shows that they are not that far off of each other. Of course the .439 SLG for the 1975 Reds makes the difference but everything else is pretty close.

1975 Reds had Tony Perez playing 132 games at first base. Dan Driessen played 41 games while Johnny Bench played 9 and Terry Crowley played 4 and even George Foster played 2 innings that year. Tony Perez went 144 for 511 AB getting a .282 batting average. He got 20 HRs, 109 RBIs with 74 runs. He also came in 15th in National League MVP voting that season. In total players at 1B got a .287 BA, .356 OBP, .480 SLG and .836 OPS for the 1975 Reds.

Joey Votto played the most games at first base for the 2011 Reds with 160 games. Yonder Alonso played 3, Miguel Cairo played in 5, Todd Frazier and Ramon Hernandez both played in one each. Votto got a .309 BA, .416 OBP, .531 SLG and a .947 OPS with 29 HRs, 103 RBIs and 101 runs in 2011 putting him 6th in National League MVP voting. In total 1B produced very well for the 2011 Reds with a .311 BA, .415 OBP, .538 SLG and .953 OPS. By far the best production for any position that year.

Reds free agents


Most fans of Cincinnati Reds know that they lost Ramon Hernandez, Francisco Cordero and Edgar Renteria to free agency but what most might not know is that there were others lost after the 2011 season from the minors. I thought I would discuss two that might be seen in 2012 on another team.

James Avery with 7 seasons in the minors had 43 wins and 49 losses with a 4.53 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Most of that time was in AA with only 2 games being in AAA.

Eric Campbell has played 8 seasons in the minors with 730 games, 3030 PA and a .275 BA, .352 OBP, .484 SLG and 127 HR, 488 RBIs with no time in AAA at all.

Other minor league free agents not re-signed by the Reds are Michael Griffin, Jose Gualdron, Carlos Mendez, Jose Castro, James Skelton, David Cook, Mike Costanzo, Quintin Berry, Ruben Medina and Doug Salinas.

Now many of us know that not everyone will make it to the big leagues but with scouting the way it is now we hope that the list of players that don’t make it is very small compared to the list that do make it. Especially with how valuable young players are right now in Major League Baseball. It is nice for a team to have 3 or 4 top players but it is just as important to have top prospects who will take over for those players once they move on or retire. And if the team is a low budget team like the Reds these young players make up most of the roster or help get players the team needs in trades. I am one of those fans that hates to see players lost to free agency but it is part of the game and teams have to try every year to work around it.

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